Will the Unemployment Rate rise in 2012?

As mentioned yesterday the there was a decrease in the Individual Tax Receipts for December as compared to a year ago.  Since 1998 when this has happened there was a spike upward in the Unemployment Rate the following year (points A to B) except in 2003 when it decreased slightly.  This it will be interesting to see if the Unemployment Rate will begin to reverse back to the upside in the months ahead.